KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 22:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Above $500 billion · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Above $500 billion 97%In testa tra 8 esiti
Above $500 billion 97%Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
0 USD
Open interest sconosciutoBid / Ask
— / —
Above $500 billionSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 19:00 UTC3 feb 31, 13:29 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Above $500 billion
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $800 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data. Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion. Resolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2030. Subsequent annual revisions will not be considered.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above $500 billion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $500 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $600 billion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $600 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $700 billion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $700 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $800 billion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $800 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $900 billion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $900 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1.0 trillion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.0 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1.1 trillion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.1 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1.2 trillion
- If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $1.2 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
