KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 15 set 2026, 11:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Kimi 0%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
11 set 26, 16:00 UTC18 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Open Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 16th
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,4K €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 20,9K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Open Source AI this week?
- Kalshi quota Kimi al 0% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Open Source AI this week?
- Top Open Source AI this week dovrebbe risolversi il 18 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Open Source AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.