KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaQuesto mercato si è risolto: At least 20 (99%)
Risolto: 23 giu 2026, 14:34
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
At least 20
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Probabilità implicita attualeAt least 20 99%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
23,4K €
Liquidità
180,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 giorni fa
Obsoleto15 giu 26, 17:157 lug 26, 16:45
Cronologia delle Probabilità
At least 2099%
At least 601%
At least 802%
1%
2%
99%
98%
99%
99%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· At least 20
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 99% | — | 23,4K € | 180,5K € | 20 giorni fa | |
 Polymarket75% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 100% | — | 3,8K € | 0 € | 19 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
0.5 ptsChiusi
+0.7pt100%
+9.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
+1 altri esiti
17 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale3,7 Mln €
Volume 24h3,8K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$26.6k2 lug6g di dati7 lug
Mercati Correlati
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
2K €At least 60: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mln €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
690K €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
528,8K €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92,1K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36,4K €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
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US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraph
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.