KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 1730K 99%In testa tra 11 esiti
At least 1730K 99%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,5K €
Open interest
51,7 €
Open interest bassoSpread
37.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 16:30 UTC8 ott 26, 12:29 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
KalshiUS Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 8, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 15, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegole
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 26, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week. The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
Regole per ogni esito
- At least 1730K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1660K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1660K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1680K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1690K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1760K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1760K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1750K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1750K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1710K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1670K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1670K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1700K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1700K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1720K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1720K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1740K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.