KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradatiDati obsoleti
Dati al 11 nov 2026, 18:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2028 68.5%Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2,6K €
Open interest
3,2K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto9 nov 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2028
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SNAP benefit restrictions become law?
KalshiWill LLM restrictions become law?
KalshiWill China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Manifold MarketsWill an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must impose a binding restriction or requirement on exports of advanced AI chips or of semiconductor manufacturing equipment or components. Export bans, license requirements or licensing standards, location-verification or other end-use security mechanisms on exported chips, mandatory congressional review of chip export licenses, and directives requiring the Bureau of Industry and Security to impose such controls, including by writing existing controls into statute, qualify. The restriction may be part of a broader law, such as the National Defense Authorization Act, and a later effective date does not delay qualification. Studies, reports, briefings, funding, sense-of-Congress provisions, and controls only on other goods, on investment, or on remote or cloud access to chips do not qualify. General sanctions, embargoes, or entity listings that restrict all exports to a country or company, without a restriction specific to chips or chipmaking equipment, do not qualify. An example of this is the Chip Security Act, which would require location verification on exported advanced AI chips.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation restricting exports of advanced AI chips or semiconductor manufacturing equipment has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
