Will an "AI chip export licencing" bill like the AI OVERWATCH act become law in 2026?
PoliticaRegolamentazioneIAOne-OffPolitica USA2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 82%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto24 lug 26, 20:57 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”
- [link preview]
