Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 65%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto
24 lug 26, 20:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
Manifold Markets quota No al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
Come viene liquidato Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?