KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
CDU 33%-3.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2,3 €
Liquidità
2,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC20 set 27, 16:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If CDU finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi quota CDU al 33% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If CDU finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.