Probabilità implicita attuale
CDU 27%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
16.0% / 26.0%
Spread
62.5%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
17 mag 26, 14:0020 set 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
CDU27%
Confronta le piattaforme· CDU
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto70% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 27% | 0pt | 9,6K € | 348,9K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets70% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 26% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | l’altro ieri | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 27% | 0pt | 0 € | 1,8K € | 24 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Berlin State Election Winner
2.0%1m
-0.5%33%
27%
+2.0%23%
+21 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale2,7 Mln €
Volume 24h9,6K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Berlin State Election Winner
Chiusi
32.8%
25.6%
17.9%
+2 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0,9 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRegole
If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.4k81.9%POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfence10 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfence10 gg faTrend del volume
$63 lug18g di dati26 lug
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If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.