Probabilità implicita attuale
CDU 32%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
4,8 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
29.0% / 35.0%
Spread
20.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
17 mag 26, 14:0020 set 27, 14:00
Trend
Esito scelto
CDU32%
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Berlin State Election Winner
1.0%3m
+1.0%30%
+1.0%22%
+0.1%22%
+21 altri esiti
80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale2,3 Mln €
Volume 24h4,2K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.