KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Grüne 36.6%-6.0ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,5 €
Liquidità
13,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC20 set 27, 16:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketRegole
If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- The party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- Kalshi quota Grüne al 37% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.