Probabilità implicita attuale
14-17% 44.2%-2.0ptIn testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3,8K €
Liquidità
28K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+3.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 18:21 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
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- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share??
- Polymarket quota 14-17% al 44% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share??
- Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.