Probabilità implicita attuale
CDU 56%+11.5ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
11,4K €
Liquidità
136,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+17.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 01:12 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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PolymarketRussia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsBosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
KalshiRegole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 922,4K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 191,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 684,3K €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 625,2K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party-1.0pt12%
- Volume totale
- 28 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 616,3K €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket quota CDU al 56% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.