GeminiDati verificati limitatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 27 lug 2026, 04:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attualeSì 8.5%
Qualita del mercato
19 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
4.0% / 13.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
4 mar 26, 11:441 feb 27, 4:59
8.5%
Il trading simulato non è disponibile per questo mercato.
Confronta le piattaforme· Yes
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto100% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 11% | 0pt | 2,7K € | 710K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 9% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | 16 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Recession this year?
6m
89%
11%
85 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale2,6 Mln €
Volume 24h2,7K €
KALSHIRegole
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,2K €Above 3.2%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?
7,4K €0.1% to 0.5%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,8K €Soft Landing: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1,4K €Sì: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1,1K €0-1%: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
438,5 €Sì: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.