PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,9 €
Liquidité
286,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 18.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
7
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
31 mars 26, 19:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
- A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter.
- Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.