Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Politique américaineGéopolitiqueOne-OffEurope1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Obsolète10 juil. 25, 13:54 UTC1 janv. 28, 05:00 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty reads:
- After the Treaty has been in force for twenty years, any Party may cease to be a Party one year after its notice of denunciation has been given to the Government of the United States of America, which will inform the Governments of the other Parties of the deposit of each notice of denunciation.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, a European party to the North Atlantic Treaty formally initiates its withdrawal from the treaty by giving its notice of denunciation to the United States government.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO once the close date has passed.
- For the purpose of this market:
