Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
US PoliticsGéopolitiqueOne-OffEurope1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.7%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète10 juil. 25, 13:54 UTC1 janv. 28, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty reads:
- After the Treaty has been in force for twenty years, any Party may cease to be a Party one year after its notice of denunciation has been given to the Government of the United States of America, which will inform the Governments of the other Parties of the deposit of each notice of denunciation.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, a European party to the North Atlantic Treaty formally initiates its withdrawal from the treaty by giving its notice of denunciation to the United States government.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO once the close date has passed.
- For the purpose of this market:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty reads: