PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 86.1%
Qualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
29,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
13.0% / 14.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
23 juin 26, 04:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRègles
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.