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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 16%-2.0%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

81,8 k €

Liquidité

24,8 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

1.2% / 1.4%

Spread

16.7%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-0.6%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

4 nov. 25, 15:5430 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
November 30
November 30
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Résultat choisi

December 3116%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.

Marchés Associés

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8 k €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

47,9 k €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

36,4 k €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €
Oui: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Oui: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsUkraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.NewsRussia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.NewsRussia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraphRussia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindesk

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.