PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 95%
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,4 €
Liquidité
7,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
13 janv. 26, 23:173 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global65% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 94% | +88pt | 4,4 € | 17,1 k € | il y a 25 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Moyenne | 95% | +89pt | 4,4 € | 7,4 k € | il y a 5 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
4.7 pts5mo
94%
-4.7pt6%
62 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution
Volume total34,2 k €
Volume 24h4,4 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$58 juil.16j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
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902,6 k €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
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891,8 k €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
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Presidential Election Winner 2028
471,5 k €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
434,8 k €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
347 k €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
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Florida Republican Governor nominee?
322,9 k €Paul Renner: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S.
- House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.