Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS Politics1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
165,5 €
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
0.5% / 1.8%
Écart
1.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
13 janv. 26, 23:17 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill democrats win the senate and lose the house?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWill Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats.
- Ties do not qualify as a majority.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.