Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète10 mai 26, 21:43 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWill Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
Manifold MarketsIF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win the Senate and House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves yes if democrats win the senate in 2026 and lose the house in 2026 after the November election
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 193,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 506,4 k €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 843,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 408 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will democrats win the senate and lose the house? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will democrats win the senate and lose the house? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will democrats win the senate and lose the house? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will democrats win the senate and lose the house? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if democrats win the senate in 2026 and lose the house in 2026 after the November election