Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 26, 04:02 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats win any senate seat this is not a current main target?
Manifold MarketsTipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Senate Majority Leader?
PolymarketIF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
Manifold MarketsJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves YES if democrats and those who caucus with democrats hold a majority(51 or more seats) in the senate before end of day 1 November 2026 in Washington DC.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if democrats and those who caucus with democrats hold a majority(51 or more seats) in the senate before end of day 1 November 2026 in Washington DC.