Les Républicains auront-ils une majorité à la Chambre des représentants après les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 ?
One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.9%
Prévisionnistes
577
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
8 juin 25, 18:16 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketWhen will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
KalshiWill the Democrats win the Senate and Republicans win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill the Democrats win the Senate, Republicans win the House, and Democrats win the Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExWill the Democrats win the Senate, Republicans win the House, and Republicans win the Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, following the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections, the Republican Party holds at least 218 seats, thereby securing a majority in the House.
- Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if the Republicans hold fewer than 218 seats.
- The official election results, as reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives, will serve as the primary source for resolution.
- (ballotpedia.org)
- The 2026 midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026, will determine the composition of the 120th United States Congress.