Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 99%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
99.0% / 99.9%
Écart
0.9 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
+7.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
15 nov. 25, 00:41 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The 2026 midterm elections for the US Senate is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the Senate for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US Senate as of November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Vacant seats will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election.