If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.4%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 24, 05:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketHow many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
KalshiWill the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate win any state trump won by 10% or more in 2024?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?
- This market will resolve YES if the 2025 democracy index for the United States released by the EIU is higher than 7.85, NO if it's less than or equal to 7.85
- Resolves NA if Trump didnt win the 2024 presidential election
- Economic Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index
- Compare the price against this market to estimate if Trump will worsen Democracy in the US
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/if-biden-won-the-election-will-the)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Trump won the election, will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than 2022?