KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 10 91%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
175,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 août 26, 14:00 UTC15 déc. 26, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich Iowa congressional districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich New York House Districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections.
- That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts.
- A district counts only if the candidate elected there is the nominee of the Democratic Party.
- If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs.
- A candidate elected as an independent or without a party nomination does NOT count, whether or not they caucus with the Democrats.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 10 à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? doit être résolu le 15 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is the named outcome at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.