PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92.1%
Qualite du marche
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
53,5 €
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
2
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
29 janv. 26, 20:3831 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
- A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 255,6 k €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 143,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 130,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,8 M €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 92% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.