Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.1%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
2 févr. 26, 15:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a social network be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the social network 2 release by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Manifold MarketsWill the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiRègles
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- It must be available to the public beyond a closed beta or private access.
- More resolution criteria detail here.
