PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 82%
Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
19,4 €
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
80.0% / 84.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
14 juil. 26, 16:22 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will avg rate of change of US debt(as % of current debt)have higher YoY increase during Trump's presidency than Biden's?
Manifold MarketsPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
- Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the next Fed rate change? ?
- Polymarket cote Hike à 82% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the next Fed rate change? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the next Fed rate change? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment What will be the next Fed rate change? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.