PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréDonnées de résolution non vérifiées: April 30
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Chronologie des Probabilités
April 150%
April 30100%
May 150%
May 310%
April 30Résultat en attente
April 15Résultat en attente
May 15Résultat en attente
May 31Résultat en attente
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.
- Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.