PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 86.1%+0.0pt
Qualite du marche
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
462,6 €
Liquidité
286,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
11.0% / 16.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
23 avr. 26, 22:2531 mars 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes14%
Tendance du volume
$5274 juil.19j de données29 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US real GDP growth in 2033?
63,2 k €2.1% to 2.5%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2036?
47 k €5.1% to 5.5%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2032?
32,8 k €5.6% to 6.0%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
439 €Oui: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,1 €Oui: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026?
384,5 €Oui: 11%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.