PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 49%+0.1%
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
93,8 €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
46.0% / 52.0%
Spread
13.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+11.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
23 avr. 26, 22:3231 mars 27, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes49%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
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KALSHI
KALSHIWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
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Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
- Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.