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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Économie
  3. Japan recession in 2026?
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

1.5% (24h)ÉconomieOne-OffUS Politics9mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 27%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

634,8 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

20.0% / 34.0%

Spread

70.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-4.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

23 avr. 26, 22:2731 mars 27, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes27%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japan’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP (Quarterly Real Growth Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter), as reported by the Cabinet Office, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Cabinet Office’s Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) and Quarterly Estimates of GDP (Second Preliminary Estimates) releases for the relevant quarters.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
  • For example, if upon release the relevant estimate for Q2 2026 is negative, and Q1 2026’s most recently available qualifying estimate is also negative, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

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Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

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Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2 k €
Oui: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japan’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP (Quarterly Real Growth Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter), as reported by the Cabinet Office, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Cabinet Office’s Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) and Quarterly Estimates of GDP (Second Preliminary Estimates) releases for the relevant quarters.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
  • For example, if upon release the relevant estimate for Q2 2026 is negative, and Q1 2026’s most recently available qualifying estimate is also negative, this market will resolve to “Yes”.