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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Économie
  3. Social Security Insolvent by...?
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

6.5% (24h)ÉconomieOne-OffUS Politics2a
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
2028
2028 26%-8.0%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

86 €

Liquidité

3,2 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 14.0%

Spread

133.3%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

10 juin 26, 2:421 janv. 29, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

202826%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Marchés Associés

2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

8,8 €
Oui: 14%KalshiKALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

4,3 €
Oui: 9%KalshiKALSHI
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

2,5 €
Oui: 37%KalshiKALSHI
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

0 €
Oui: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,3 k €
Oui: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,849.85+2.69%EthereumETH$1,657.82+2.35%SolanaSOL$65.14+2.29%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%XRPXRP$1.12+0.95%BNBBNB$600.08+2.63%

Actualités Associées

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsCongress wants to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction marketsCrypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
  • A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
  • A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
  • The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.