PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 25 juil. 2026, 00:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Probabilité implicite actuelle2028 26%
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
5.0% / 15.0%
Spread
200.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
10 juin 26, 2:311 janv. 29, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
202826%
Tendance du volume
$105 juil.2j de données6 juil.
Marchés Associés
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 k €Oui: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
592,2 €Oui: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
29,1 €0-1%: 6.1%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
25,5 €Oui: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
17,6 €Oui: 35.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
3,7 €Shutdown & Democratic: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
- A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
- A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
- The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.