KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81%
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
68,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
14.0% / 19.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
9 juin 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 33, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Congress enact an increase in the retirement age for Social Security before the end of 2028?
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KalshiRègles
If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2033.
- Comment Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.