PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 1%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
10,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 mai 26, 19:45 UTC30 sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.
- Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
- Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 55,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8 k €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israeli forces enter Beirut by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 1% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israeli forces enter Beirut by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israeli forces enter Beirut by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Israeli forces enter Beirut by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time.