Milieu du carnet sélectionné
December 31, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
December 31, 2028 45%En tête parmi 4 options
December 31, 2028 45%Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3 k €
Liquidité
13,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneIntérêt ouvert
1,6 k $US
Achat / Vente
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December 31, 2028Écart
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Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
10 nov. 26, 16:34 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · December 31, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill China have more phase 3 drug trials than the United States in year X?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Poland become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033?
Manifold MarketsRègles
On January 20, 2026, the European Commission proposed a revised Cybersecurity Act ("CSA2", Commission proposal COM(2026) 11) that would require EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from designated high-risk suppliers, a measure widely reported to target Huawei and ZTE.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union formally adopts legislation that requires EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from Chinese suppliers, as defined below, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Central European Time (CET/CEST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation may include the revised Cybersecurity Act, any successor proposal, or any other legislative act, provided it is a regulation or directive adopted under the ordinary or a special legislative procedure, binding in all EU Member States, and meets all of the following requirements: - apply to providers of public mobile electronic communications networks generally or to a defined class of them (e.g., providers of 5G networks or operators above a size threshold), and may also apply to other networks; - require the removal, replacement, or phase-out of already-deployed core network and/or radio access network equipment, rather than only banning new purchases, installation, or certification; - apply to suppliers established in, or controlled from, the People's Republic of China (e.g., Huawei and ZTE), either by name or through a designation mechanism capable of covering them (e.g., "high-risk suppliers", or a designation of China as a high-risk third country), whether or not China or any Chinese supplier has been designated by the specified date; and - set a phase-out deadline of no more than 36 months, as a fixed date or a period (e.g., “within 36 months after entry into force”), counted from the entry into force of the act setting it, the relevant provision’s date of application, or a later designation of suppliers under that act (e.g., publication of a list of high-risk suppliers); where these dates are not yet known, the adoption date will be used.
- This limit must be fixed in the act itself: case-by-case or risk-based timelines without it, and deadlines whose length is left to later implementing or delegated acts, will not qualify, but an implementing or delegated act that only designates suppliers, and so starts the clock, will not disqualify an act, nor will extensions for individual operators in exceptional cases if the general deadline is met; however, an act will not qualify if it allows the deadline to be extended beyond 36 months generally, for a whole Member State, or for a whole class of operators.
- These requirements may be met by provisions of more than one such act, provided the provisions together impose a single removal obligation meeting all requirements, and each act is formally adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM CET/CEST.
