Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2026?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2026? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 83.4% au 26 septembre 2026.

Quand Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.

Comment Will Poland become more authoritarian in 2026? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Poland's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

JSON gratuit pour ce marché, sans clé API :

Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• September 3090%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,4 M €

Volume 24h

556,8 k €

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

• No+0.1pt100%
• Yes-0.1pt0%

Volume total

9,8 M €

Volume 24h

354,4 k €

POLYMARKET

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?

• December 31-2.0pt19%
• October 319%
• September 30+0.1pt1%

+9 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+4.0pt73%
• December 31-0.9pt56%
• November 30+0.5pt39%

+20 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No+1.0pt84.2%
• Yes-1.0pt15.8%

Volume total

61,2 M €

Volume 24h

190,2 k €

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

• No+0.2pt100%
• Yes-0.2pt0%

Volume total

2,4 M €

Volume 24h

173,9 k €

• When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
• Israel vs. Republic of Ireland - Exact Score
• Israel vs. Republic of Ireland
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
• Iran leadership change by which date?
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
• Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on?
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?