PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 96%-0.0pt
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
440,7 €
Liquidité
42,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.6% / 4.6%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+0.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
13 nov. 25, 16:2531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes4%
Tendance du volume
$5012 juil.26j de données27 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
- Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
- Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
- Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.