Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 60.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 36 minutes
3 juin 26, 22:40 UTC31 oct. 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia control Slavyansk by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill VK (VKontakte, Mail.ru group) irreversibly lose some user data by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Ukraine controls the entirety of Slavyansk, Donetsk Oblast.
- This market will resolve NO if, at the close date, Ukraine does not control the entire city.
- For the duration of the war, any YES or NO resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:
- UAControlMap
- UkrDailyUpdate
