Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
One-OffRussie / UkraineGéopolitiquePolitique1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 oct. 26, 00:18 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
As reported by the Financial Times and confirmed by Ukrainian legislator Oleksiy Goncharenko, the peace terms discussed in early 2023 would have seen Ukraine regain control of all of the territories captured by Russia since 24 February 2022.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the amount of territory Ukraine controls following the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is greater than the amount of territory Ukraine would have controlled if the 2023 peace proposal described by the Financial Times had been implemented.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- This market concerns de facto territorial control.
