Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionEuropePolitiqueCorporate ActionsManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (94%)
Résolu: 15 août 2026, 18:07
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 94%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 jours
Obsolète17 janv. 26, 17:3415 août 26, 18:07
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes6%
No94%
94%
6%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Resolves YES if at least one of the tariffs at least as large as stated in this Truth Social post are implemented at the latest by the times detailed in this post on at least one European country for the explicit purposes of acquiring Greenland
- https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897
- Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the US implements at least 10% tariffs on at least one European country beginning February 1, 2026, or at least 25% tariffs on at least one European country beginning June 1, 2026, explicitly for the purpose of acquiring Greenland.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Trump administration and verified through official trade policy sources such as the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/) or the U.S. Department of Commerce (https://www.commerce.gov/).
- The market resolves NO if no such tariffs are implemented by June 1, 2026, or if any implemented tariffs are not explicitly tied to Greenland acquisition.
