Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)RégulationOne-OffTrade PolicyPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection10j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 58%
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
443,9 €
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
42.0% / 45.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
1 août 26, 14:001 sept. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Règles
If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New York TimesBloombergthe White Housethe Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeReutersAssociated Pressthe President of the United States
- For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
- Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
- New arrangements include, but are not limited to:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 58% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President announces a new trade deal before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.