KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 170 billion 91%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
24 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC28 févr. 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If US trade deficit for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
- The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
- If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45 billion and 54.9 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55 billion and 64.9 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65 billion and 74.9 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75 billion and 84.9 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US trade deficit for 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 170 billion à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US trade deficit for 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US trade deficit for 2026? doit être résolu le 28 février 2027.
- Comment US trade deficit for 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If US trade deficit for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.