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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US trade deficit for 2026?
US trade deficit for 2026?

US trade deficit for 2026?

One-OffTrade Policy8mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Below 45‎ billion
Below 45‎ billion 2%
En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

71 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

- / 4.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

24 févr. 26, 15:0028 févr. 27, 13:29

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Below 45‎ billion2%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

8mo
800–900B
800–900B
+2.5%41%
900B–1T
900B–1T
-0.5%19%
600–700B
600–700B
-0.2%10%

+5 résultats de plus

40 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total18,4 k €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%

Règles

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 45‎ billion and 54.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 55‎ billion and 64.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 65‎ billion and 74.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If US trade deficit for 2026 is between 75‎ billion and 84.9‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.