Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?
One-OffRussie / UkraineGéopolitique4a
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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 03:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète14 févr. 23, 13:07 UTC30 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
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The market resolves Yes if there is a front in Crimea at any stage before a peace settlement or a permanent ceasefire is established.
- This is only for fighting on land between conventional armies.
- Bombing, long-range artillery, sabotage activities, uprisings, assassinations etc. will not count as fighting.
- By Crimea I mean the borders of the administrative unit as seen by both Ukraine and Russia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimea.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StanPinsent/will-there-be-fighting-in-crimea-th)