Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.2%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 26, 19:44 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICC issue an arrest warrant against a sitting world leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsMidterms: which issue matters most to voters?
KalshiNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, any region of the Russian Federation is officially declared or classified as experiencing a "famine" by any of the following entities:
- The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) or the Famine Review Committee (FRC) classifies any area within the Russian Federation as being in Phase 5 (Famine).
- Any major United Nations agency (such as the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), World Food Programme (WFP), or UNICEF) formally declares a "famine" within any region of Russia.
- The Government of the Russian Federation officially declares a state of "famine" (голод) or issues a federal emergency decree acknowledging famine conditions within the country's borders.
- A major, internationally recognized humanitarian organization (such as the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), Doctors Without Borders (MSF), or the International Rescue Committee (IRC)) publishes an official report or statement explicitly confirming that a famine is occurring in Russia.