KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 0.0% 98%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,2 k €
Liquidité
4,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
29 juil. 26, 23:001 févr. 28, 4:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used.
- This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt33%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt43%
- September Meeting34%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 116,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,4 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes56%
- No44%
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 10,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 120,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%42.2%
- 0.3%+3.0pt28.4%
- ≥0.5%-11.5pt10.8%
+6 résultats de plus
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026
- How much will core PCE increase in Jul 2026?
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI-U index in August
- US gasoline CPI for August
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 0.0% à 98% au 26 août 2026.
- Quand US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
- Comment US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.