KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 3.5% 97%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
554,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
97.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
29 juil. 26, 23:00 UTC1 févr. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
KalshiUS headline CPI inflation in December 2036
KalshiUS headline CPI inflation in December 2035
KalshiWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- The initially reported value for December 2034 will be used.
- This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2034, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 3.5% à 97% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 doit être résolu le 1 février 2035.
- Comment US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.