Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète26 janv. 26, 17:52 UTC31 déc. 33, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Algeria and Morocco reestablish diplomatic relations in 2026?
Futuur🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a war over AI before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?
Manifold MarketsAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algeria%E2%80%93Morocco_relations
- Border skirmishes count as wars if there's more than a dozen dead.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Western Sahara-related clashes at the Algeria border to count: both the Moroccan and Algerian governments must be involved in some capacity.
- It has to be soldiers (of some kind) vs soldiers, not just people with guns killing civilians.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For clashes involving non-state militias: the militia must be backed by the government to count toward resolution.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2033.
- Comment Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algeria%E2%80%93Morocco_relations