Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 78.4%
Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète23 mai 24, 13:18 UTC31 mai 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872.
- "Will "AI safety" be considered a coherent movement with leaders and an agenda vs a descriptor for some cluster of skills/techniques that some within AI-focused companies are familiar with?"
- Resolves YES if there is indeed a coherent movement with the agenda of AI Notkilleveryoneism.
- It must have at least one identifiable leader figure, and an agenda.
- It need not still have the name "AI Safety" but it must remain relevant.
- Resolves NO if this is no longer the case, meaning that when people think of how we prevent AI from killing everyone, they think about technical techniques within AI companies, or similar.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2029.
- Comment Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872.