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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

14.5% (24h)RégulationIAOne-OffUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 29%+0.1%
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

12,1 €

Liquidité

792,5 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

14.0% / 44.0%

Spread

214.3%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+19.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

12 nov. 25, 22:1131 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes29%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Marchés Associés

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

236,9 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

16,5 k €
December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

604,6 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

130 €
At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026: 99%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

78,1 €
Before Oct 1, 2026: 57%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,811.98+2.51%EthereumETH$1,657.02+2.26%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.73%BNBBNB$598.94+2.41%XRPXRP$1.12+0.89%

Actualités Associées

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".