KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 75%
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
857,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
59.0% / 65.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
14 juil. 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one U.S. state enact a binding statewide moratorium on new hyperscale data centers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill data center legislation (GRID Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting is enacted in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCthe Federal RegisterThe InformationMSNBCCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCSemaforPoliticoBloomberg NewsReuters
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
- The following do NOT constitute enactment:
- Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
- Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 12,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 90,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 877 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
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- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting is enacted in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.