Probabilité implicite actuelle
No release by September 30 69.9%+19.5ptEn tête parmi 31 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
11,8 k €
Liquidité
125,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+10.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
17 août 26, 23:31 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsNext Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.